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Medicaid Fate Rides on Election        10/24 06:14

   WASHINGTON (AP) -- Medicaid, long the stepchild of government health care 
programs, is finally coming into its own.

   The federal-state program for low-income people has been scarcely debated in 
the turbulent presidential election, but it faces real consequences depending 
on who wins the White House in the Nov. 8 vote.

   Under President Barack Obama, Medicaid has expanded to cover more than 70 
million people and shed much of the social stigma from its earlier years as a 
welfare program. Two big industries --- insurers and hospitals --- have a 
declared stake in the future of the program, which costs more than $530 billion 
a year. Insurers are leading a new "Modern Medicaid Alliance" to educate 
lawmakers about how the program has moved closer to private coverage.

   Medicaid has become "one of the primary mainstream health care programs," 
says former Rep. Henry Waxman, D-Calif., who for decades worked to expand 
benefits and coverage.

   Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton would keep that going, 
trying to persuade 19 holdout states to accept the Medicaid expansion in 
Obama's health law. The expansion has added millions of low-income adults to 
the program, including many workers whose jobs don't offer health insurance. 
Clinton would have to address concerns among state lawmakers about growing 

   Republican Donald Trump would repeal the overhaul and reverse its Medicaid 
expansion. Then Trump would go further, putting a brake on the program by 
replacing open-ended federal funding with a limited block grant. States would 
get much more leeway to run Medicaid, but it would no longer be a federal 
entitlement. Even if Trump loses, his party is committed to that general 

   That may not be good for people such as Nick Novak, a Chicago-area man who 
represents the changing face of Medicaid. Novak, in his late 30s, works a 
couple of part-time jobs, neither of which comes with health insurance. His 
main work is helping grocery stores remodel and reset shelves.

   Illinois is one of 31 states that expanded Medicaid, and Novak said he 
gained coverage as a result. To qualify, a single adult can make no more than 
138 percent of the federal poverty line, about $16,400.

   Medicaid paid for Novak's surgery to widen a constricted urinary pathway, an 
operation costing more than $40,000. That allowed him to avoid having to use a 
catheter for the rest of his life, a less costly fallback that would have left 
him prone to infections.

   "I'm aware of what people think about Medicaid," Novak said. "Honestly, I 
don't think there's any shame in accepting help like that. It's not like I sit 
there collecting from the government."

   Novak said he had never given much thought to Medicaid before. "Things can 
change in the blink of an eye," he said. "When you need to depend on it, it 
will definitely change your views."

   The public's views also have evolved.

   A Kaiser Family Foundation poll last year around Medicaid's 50th anniversary 
found that more than 8 in 10 people not covered by the program would enroll 
themselves or a child rather than go uninsured. Sixty-two percent said the 
federal government should continue to guarantee coverage for low-income people, 
and only about one-third favored block grants, the Trump approach.

   Breaking the link between Medicaid and welfare has been a long process, 
which started in the 1980s with pregnant women and children and was completed 
under Obama's health law.

   "It is no longer a program that is seen as exclusively for people who are 
not working," said Robert Blendon, a public opinion expert at the Harvard T.H. 
Chan School of Public Health. "Medicaid now covers so many people from 
different income backgrounds that it is seen as much broader program that 
provides health insurance to people of modest incomes."

   Consider a few indicators of how Medicaid is changing:

   ---Medicaid covers a significantly higher number of people than Medicare, 
more than 70 million compared with 57 million. It's also the most diverse 
health care program, covering pregnant women and children, low-income adults 
with no children at home, severely disabled people, and many nursing home 
residents. A large majority of Medicaid recipients are in private managed-care 
plans, which are trying to reduce patients' use of the emergency room for 
routine care.

   ---There's a perception that having Medicaid is worse than being uninsured 
because in most states the program pays doctors significantly less than 
Medicare or private insurance. But government statistics paint a more nuanced 
picture. Eighty-one percent of Medicaid beneficiaries ages 19-64 said they saw 
a doctor at least once in 2015, compared with under half of the uninsured. 
Still, nearly 10 percent said they had trouble finding a physician, compared 
with 5 percent of those with private insurance. Independent studies have shown 
improved financial well-being with Medicaid coverage. Virtually all hospitals 
accept Medicaid.

   ---Republican-led states that expanded Medicaid have gotten concessions from 
the Obama administration on issues such as charging modest premiums to 
beneficiaries and using copays to discourage emergency room visits for routine 
care. If Clinton is elected, expect more of those sorts of changes as she tries 
to convince remaining states to expand. Some conservatives would like to see 
work requirements.

   "Republican governors and legislatures unwilling to do the expansion under 
strict terms would be willing to do it under more favorable conditions," said 
Jim Capretta, a health care policy expert at the business-oriented American 
Enterprise Institute. He said if Clinton "is more of a dealmaker than the Obama 
administration, I think she'd get some takers."


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