Process, Resolve Tested in Nuke Talks 07/07 06:21
VIENNA (AP) -- Iran nuclear talks were in danger of busting through their
second deadline in a week Tuesday, raising questions about the ability of world
powers to cut off all Iranian pathways to a bomb through diplomacy, and testing
the resolve of U.S. negotiators to walk away from the negotiation as they've
As the latest target date arrived for a deal setting a decade of
restrictions on Iran's nuclear program, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry,
Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif and other top diplomats huddled
in Vienna in search of a breakthrough. All have spoken of deep differences
remaining even after 11 days of discussions, and there was no public indication
they had resolved disputes ranging from inspection rules on suspicious Iranian
sites to limits on Tehran's research and development of advanced nuclear
Diplomats extended their discussions by a week when they missed their goal
of a pact by June 30, after passing previous deadlines in July 2014 and last
November. For Kerry and his team, pressure is increasing from skeptical U.S.
allies and members of Congress. If the accord isn't sent over to American
lawmakers by Thursday, their month-long review period would be doubled to 60
days, hampering the ability of the Obama administration to offer speedy
economic benefits to Iran for nuclear concessions.
In Tehran Tuesday, Iran's Atomic Energy Organization declared it had reached
a "general understanding" in parallel talks with the U.N. nuclear agency on
"joint cooperation." The Iranians have made similar claims previously, and it
was unclear if any process was established for the International Atomic Energy
Agency's long-stymied investigation of past nuclear weapons work by the Islamic
Republic --- a demand of Washington and its partners in negotiations in
There, in a baroque, 19th-century palace, Kerry gathered early Tuesday with
the foreign ministers of Britain, China, France, Germany and Russia. The larger
group was to meet with Zarif afterward, with the clock ticking. Russia's Sergey
Lavrov and China's Wang Yi were expected for a gathering of emerging economies
in the Russian city of Ufa on Wednesday, and White House spokesman Josh Earnest
said another prolongation of talks was "certainly possible."
The U.S. is in a tough spot. President Barack Obama has expended significant
political capital on finalizing an agreement that has prompted suspicion from
Iran's regional rival, Saudi Arabia, outright hostility from America's closest
Mideast ally, Israel, and deep ambivalence even among Obama's Democratic allies
in Congress. They're concerned that the accord would leave Iran's nuclear
infrastructure largely intact and compel the West to provide the leading
U.S.-designated state sponsor of terrorism with potentially hundreds of
billions of dollars' worth of economic relief from international sanctions.
To ease their concerns, Obama and Kerry have vowed to hold out for a "good
deal" that verifiably keeps Iran at least a year away from a nuclear weapons
capability for at least a decade. Current intelligence estimates put the
Iranians only two to three months away from amassing enough material for a
nuclear warhead, if they pursued such a course. As part of the guarantee, the
administration has repeatedly threatened to abandon negotiations if they prove
fruitless or appear as an Iranian stall for time.
On-and-off talks with Tehran have been going on for more than a decade,
though this incarnation has come closest to any resolution. The latest effort
began in secret a couple of years ago and gained speed after the election of
moderate-leaning Iranian President Hassan Rouhani in 2013. By November that
year, Iran and the six world powers clinched an interim nuclear agreement and
began the process for a comprehensive accord.
Over the weekend, a cautious Kerry told reporters that talks on the final
package "could go either way."
"If we don't have a deal, if there's absolute intransigence, if there's an
unwillingness to move on the things that are important, President Obama has
always said we'll be prepared to walk away," Kerry said. "It's not what anybody
wants. We want to get an agreement. But I've said from the moment I became
involved in this we want a good agreement, only a good agreement, and we're not
going to shave anywhere at the margins in order just to get an agreement."
But a withdrawal won't happen necessarily if the diplomacy fails, a senior
U.S. official said. "There are a range of possibilities, and I think to some
extent it depends on where things actually stand," said the official, who
updated reporters this weekend on the private talks on condition he not be
quoted by name. "If things are I think exceedingly close, I think that puts us
in one category of possible options. If things really just break down and it's
clear there's no way of getting there that anybody can see, I think that puts
us in another place."
Republicans hostile to compromise with Iran have been urging the U.S. to
pull back from the talks. Their refrain for several months has been that Obama
and Kerry want a deal more than the Iranians do, and have let red lines erode
on Iranian enrichment capacity, inspections and providing limited sanctions
relief. The president and his top advisers vehemently reject such claims.
Iran has its own red lines, defiantly outlined in recent weeks by Ayatollah
Ali Khamenei, the nation's supreme leader. They include a quick easing of
sanctions, and rejection of any inspections of military sites or interviews
with Iranian nuclear scientists.
On Monday, a senior Iranian official also demanded an end to the U.N. arms
embargo against his country as part of any deal. The Iranian decision to
publicly bring the issue into the mix suggested disputes ran deeper than just
over the most widely aired matters. The U.S. wants to maintain restrictions on
some conventional weapons and ballistic missiles as it seeks to limit Tehran's